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RealClearPolitics Site Most Accurate Election Forecaster Of 2024
The polls that were ignored by many in the media in the election between President-elect Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris were the most accurate.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls was the most accurate forecast for the 2024 election, and it continued to show a victory for the president-elect.The company’s co-founder, Tom Bevan, spoke with Washington bureau chief Carl Cannon and podcast host Andrew Walworth on the Real Clear Politics radio show, where they examined how their polls did.

“In terms of the swing states, we predicted Trump winning five of the seven and Harris leading in the other two by less than half a percent. On average, our averages were within 1.8% of the final outcome in each of these states. Nationally, we had Harris up by 0.1%, and Trump is going to win the popular vote by about 1.5%,” the co-founder said. “So the polls weren’t terrible this year.”“And all these polls that the folks at the New York Times like to denigrate — Rasmussen, Trafalgar, Insider Advantage — did very well,” he said. “Atlas Intel, the most accurate pollster four years ago, was unbelievably accurate this time. And, by the way, the New York Times/Siena poll was atrocious. They predicted Harris winning four of the seven swing states, had two tied, and Trump winning Arizona. They predicted Harris winning 274 electoral votes without Michigan or Pennsylvania, which is preposterous.”